Author: LAWRENCE MORGAN

’23 Preseason Rankings

48 Team Logo 1 Gordon Cent. Warriors '22 (0-10)
47 Team Logo 2 Murray Co Indians '22 (1-9)
46 Team Logo 3 Coosa Eagles '22 (3-7)
45 Team Logo 4 Ridgeland Panthers '22 (0-10)
44 Team Logo 5 LFO Warriors '22 (2-8)
43 Team Logo 6 Chattooga Indians '22 (2-8)
42 Team Logo 7 Armuchee Indians '22 (3-7)
41 Team Logo 8 SE Whitfield Raiders '22 (4-6)
40 Team Logo 9 LaFayette Ramblers '22 (3-7)
39 Team Logo 10 Temple Tigers '22 (4-7)
38 Team Logo 11 Woodland Wildcats '22 (1-9)
37 Team Logo 12 Haralson Co Rebels '22 (3-7)
36 Team Logo 13 Mt.Zion Eagles '22 (5-6)
35 Team Logo 14 Gordon Lee Trojans '22 (4-6)
34 Team Logo 15 Pickens Dragons '22 (5-6)
33 Team Logo 16 Gilmer Bobcats '22 (5-5)
32 Team Logo 17 Dade Co Wolverines '22 (6-5)
31 Team Logo 18 Heard Co Braves '22 (6-6)
30 Team Logo 18 Pepperell Dragons '22 (6-5)
29 Team Logo 19 Model Blue Devils '22 (6-5)
28 Team Logo 20 Christian Heritage Lions '22 (5-7)
27 Team Logo 21 Coahulla Creek Colts '22 (7-4)
26 Team Logo 22 North Murray Mointaineers '22 (6-5)
25 Team Logo 23 Bremen Blue Devils '22 (5-6)
24 Team Logo 24 Villa Rica Wildcats '22 (4-6)
23 Team Logo 25 Dalton Catamounts '22 (6-6)
22 Team Logo 26 NW Whitfield Bruins '22 (5-5)
21 Team Logo 27 Heritage Generals '22 (8-3)
20 Team Logo 28 Fannin Co Rebels '22 (7-5)
19 Team Logo 29 Sonoraville Phoenix '22 (6-5)
18 Team Logo 30 East Paulding Raiders '22 (3-7)
17 Team Logo 31 Ringgold Tigers '22 (7-4)
16 Team Logo 32 Trion Bulldogs '22 (9-3)
15 Team Logo 33 Darlington Tigers '22 (11-1)
14 Team Logo 34 Paulding Co Patriots '22 (6-5)
13 Team Logo 35 Adairsville Tigers '22 (10-2)
12 Team Logo 36 Central Lions '22 (8-4)
11 Team Logo 36 Hiram Hornets '22 (5-5)
10 Team Logo 38 Cass Colonels '22 (5-7)
9 Team Logo 39 Bowdon Red Devils '22 (14-1)
8 Team Logo 40 Rockmart Yellow Jackets '22 (10-3)
7 Team Logo 40 South Paulding Spartains '22 (8-4)
6 Team Logo 40 North Paulding Wolfpack '22 (7-4)
5 Team Logo 43 Calhoun Yellow Jackets '22 (9-4)
4 Team Logo 43 Cartersville Purple Hurricanes '22 (12-2)
3 Team Logo 43 Cedartown Bulldogs '22 (14-1)
2 Team Logo 46 Rome Wolves '22 (12-2)
1 Team Logo 47 Carrollton Trojans '22 (14-1)

3rd Round Calpreps Predictions

4 games in each classification with 7 of our local teams making it to Round 3.

Here is how Calpreps has the QF round staking up

Class A Div 2

#1 Bowdon over #3 Early Co by 6

#10 Lincoln Co over #7 Dooly Co by 2

#5 Johnson Co over # 4 Clinch Co by 1

#2 Schley Co over #8 Wilcox Co by 13


Class A Div 1

#3 Irwin Co over #10 Mt. Pisgah by 19

#2 Rabun Co over #4 Swainsboro by 1

#1 PAC over #8 Metter by 27

#5 Bleckley Co over #7 St. Francis by 6


AA

#1 Fitzgerald over #3 Rockmart by 7

#2 Pierce Co over #6 Fellowship Chirstian by 8

#5 Appling Co over #8 Callaway by 6

#4 Thomson over #7 South Atl by 7


AAA

#4 Carver Atlanta at #8 Thomasville (Even)

#2 Sandy Creek over #7 Savannah Christian by 7

#1 Cedar Grove over #3 Calvary Day by 26

#6 Carver Columbus over #5 Oconee Co by 2


AAAA

#1 Cedartown over #4 Bainbridge by 6

#3 North Oconee over #5 Wayne Co by 10

#2 Benedictine over #7 Stockbridge by 10

#9 Holy Innocents over #8 Troup by 1


AAAAA

#1 Ware Co over #4 Calhoun by 14

#6 Dutchtown over #8 Mays by 8

#2 Creekside over #7 Warner Robins by 17

#3 Cartersville over #5 Coffee Co by 5


AAAAAA

#2 Thomas Co Cent over #5 Roswell by 10

#4 Gainesville over #6 Houston Co by 10

#1 Langston Hughes over #7 Woodward Acad. by 21

#3 Rome over #9 Marist by 9


AAAAAAA

#4 Colquitt Co over #11 North Gwinnett by 20

#2 Carrollton over #5 Walton by 3

#1 Mill Creek over #8 Westlake by 19

#7 Grayson over #9 Milton by 3


Playoff History (Round 2)

We have 17 teams moving on to the 2nd round.

When was the last time each team made the 2nd Rd and how long as it been since they made the Quarterfinals?

Bowdon Red Devils:

4th straight 2nd Rd appearance for Coach Fendley and the Red Devils when they host Manchester on Friday. They have not advanced to the QF since 2013.

Christian Heritage Lions:

The Lions travel to Johnson Co on Friday. They made the 2nd Rd in 2020 and QF in 2015.

Heard Co Braves:

3rd straight 2nd Rd for the Braves. Last trip to the QF Round was in 2018 when they won the State Championship. They will travel to Irwin Co on Friday.

Darlington Tigers:

7th straight trip to the 2nd Round for the Tigers. They made the QF last season.

Trion Bulldogs

Back to back 2nd Rd appearances for the 1st time in 19 years. Trion last advanced to the QF in 2015.

Rockmart Yellow Jackets

2020 last 2nd Rd game. The Yellow Jackets have not advanced to QF since their run to the State Final in 2018.

Fannin Co Rebels

3 straight trips to the 2nd Rd for the 1st time in program history. Last QF game was 2020.

Adairsville Tigers

1st 2nd round trip since 2015. Which is also the last season the Tigers made the Quarterfinals.

Cedartown Bulldogs

3rd straight trip to the 2nd Round for Coach Abrams and the Bulldogs. The Bulldogs made it to the Semi Final last season.

Central Lions

1st 2nd Round game since 2014 and 2013 was the last time the Lions advanced to the 3rd round.

Calhoun Yellow Jackets

22nd straight year in the 2nd Round and last made the QF round last season on their run to the State Title game.

Cartersville Purple Hurricanes

11th consecutive trip to the 2nd round. Last made the QF round in 2020, eventually making it to the State Title game.

Dalton Catamounts

2016 is the last time the Catamounts made the 2nd round and advanced to the QF round.

Cass Colonels

1983 is the last and only time Cass has made the 2nd Rd or advanced to the QF round in the 69 year history of the program.

Rome Wolves

2020 was the last 2nd Rd game for the Wolves with 2018 being the last trip to the QF round.

South Paulding Spartans

2019 is last trip to the 2nd Round and the Spartans have never advanced to the QF round in the 16 year history of the program.

Carrollton Trojans

8th straight year in the 2nd Round. They advanced to the Semi Final game last year.

Playoffs Round 1

A look at our 1st Round playoff matchups. Game lines are an average of Calpreps and Massey Ratings.

Get out and enjoy a game this weekend!

A Div 2

Christian Heritage (-3) at Greene County

Washington Wilkes (-6) at Mt. Zion

Aquinas at Bowdon (-17)

A Div 1

Temple at Metter (-28)

Bryan Co at Heard Co (-11)

Pepperell at Elbert Co (-24)

Commerce at Trion (-5)

Dade Co at Rabun Co (-35)

Athens Christian at Darlington (-22)

AA

E. Jackson at Rockmart (-34)

North Murray at Fellowship (-21)

Fannin Co at Athens Academy (-10)

Union Co at Model (-4)

AAA

Pickens at Hebron (-22)

Carver Atlanta (-19) at Ringgold

Coahulla Creek at Sandy Creek (-37)

Bremen at Cedar Grove (-42)

Douglass at Adairsville (-23)

AAAA

Cedar Shoals at Cedartown (-42)

Heritage (-7) at Walnut Grove

Sonoraville at North Oconee (-27)

Madison Co at Central (-14)

AAAAA

Eastside at Calhoun (-15)

Dalton at Loganville (-13)

Clarke Central at Cartersville (-14)

Cass at Jefferson (-26)

AAAAAA

Paulding Co at Rome (-25)

Sequoyah at South Paulding (-18)

AAAAAAA

Lowndes at Carrollton (-13)

Parkview (-4) at North Paulding

Final Week Playoff Math Class A

We are here! The final week of the season with lots yet to be determined. We give you a look at all the potential playoff projections and any playoff matchups that are locked in.

Bold = Lock

Class A Div 2

The Region Title will be decided Friday when the Mt. Zion Eagles travel to the #1 Ranked Bowdon Red Devils. The Devils are heavy favorites but so was Christian Heritage last week verse the Eagles.

Region Outlook

  1. Winner of Bowdon v Mt. Zion
  2. Loser of Bowdon v Mt. Zion
  3. Christian Heritage

Playoff Pairings:

Still a lot to be determined this week in Region 8A.

Lincoln Co gets the Bye as the #1 Seed but 2 through 4 are up for grabs. Greene Co at Washington Wilkes will decide the order Friday night.

Christian Heritage will travel to the Winner of that game week 1.

If Washington Wilkes wins:

Greene Co at Bowdon

Aquinas at Mt. Zion

If Greene Co Wins:

Aquinas at Bowdon

Washington Wilkes at Mt. Zion


Class A Div 1

Region 4

Both games this Friday night will determine the finishing order

Lamar Co at Heard Co for the #1 and #2 spot

Temple at Crawford Co for the #3 and #4 spot

Same thing goes for their 1st Rd playoff pairings ..Region 3.

Screven Co at Metter for the #1 and #2

Bryan Co at Claxton for the #3 and #4

Region 7

The top 2 spots will be determined Friday when Trion visits Darlington

The Pepperell Dragons have locked up the 3 spot

The 4th place spot is Dade Co’s if they win at Armuchee Friday. If the Indians pull the upset and Pepperell beats Coosa then Armuchee will claim the 4 Spot.

Region Standings:

  1. Darlington or Trion home vs Athens Christian
  2. Darlington or Trion home vs Commerce
  3. Pepperell at Elbert Co
  4. Dade Co or Armuchee at Rabun Co

Week 11 Playoff Projections

Calpreps 1st Round projections with prediction. Favorite is bold.

Class A Div 2

Greene County at Bowdon (-34.5)

Aquinas at Christian Heritage (-7.5)

Mt. Zion at Washington Wilkes (-17.5)

Class A Div 1

Pepperell at Rabun Co (-34.5)

Dade Co at Elbert Co (-29.5)

Commerce at Trion (-7)

Athens Christian at Darlington (-34.5)

Heard Co at Screven Co (-13)

Bryan Co at Temple (-13.5)

Class AA

East Jackson at Rockmart (-34.5)

Union Co (-5) at Model

Fannin Co at Athens Academy (-20)

North Murray at Fellowship Christian (-25.5)

Class AAA

Douglass at Adairsville (-24)

Carver Atl (-34.5) at Ringgold

Coahulla Creek at Sandy Creek (-34.5)

Bremen at Cedar Grove (-34.5)

Gilmer at Stephens Co (-34.5)

Class AAAA

Central at North Oconee (-34.5)

Sonoraville (-13) at Madison Co

Cedar Shoals at Cedartown (-34.5)

E. Forsyth at Heritage (-18)

Class AAAAA

Eastside at Calhoun (-18.5)

Clarke Central at Cartersville (-14)

Dalton at Loganville (-18)

Cass at Jefferson (-30)

Class AAAAAA

Paulding Co at Rome (-30.5)

South Paulding (-10) at Sequoyah

Class AAAAAAA

Camden County at Carrollton (-28)

North Paulding at Parkview (-16.5)

Playoff Math Pt2 (AAAAA and AAAA)

With 2 weeks left in the 2022 season we look at possible playoff scenarios.

Region 7-5A

This all hinges on the Cass at Calhoun game this Friday. The Yellow Jackets are a 27 point favorite but as we have seen in ’22 anything can happen.

If Calhoun beats Cass:

  1. Calhoun
  2. Winner of Cartersville/Dalton
  3. Loser of Cartersville/Dalton
  4. Cass

If Cass beats Calhoun and Cartersville beats Dalton

  1. Cartersville
  2. Cass
  3. Calhoun
  4. Dalton

If Cass beats Calhoun and Dalton beats Cartersville

Based on my calculations….

If Cass Wins by 6+

  1. Dalton
  2. Cartersville
  3. Cass
  4. Calhoun

If Cass wins by 6 or less

  1. Dalton
  2. Calhoun
  3. Cartersville
  4. Cass

Region 7-4A

Region 7-4A is a little complicated after the top spot.

If Cedartown wins 1 of their remaining 2 games (SE Whitfield and NW Whitfield) they are the Champs for the 3rd consecutive year.

Super confusing after that. We could still end in a 4-way tie for the final 3 spots.

We will take one week at a time, starting with this Friday

Sonoraville at Heritage: If Heritage wins, they have a grip on the #2 spot heading into a final week showdown with Central.

If Sonoraville wins: With only SE Whitfield remaining the Phoenix would be the odds-on favorite to host a playoff game round 1.

NW Whitfield at Central: the simple formula is whoever loses this matchup probably misses the post-season.

How the computer see’s it playing out:

  1. Cedartown
  2. Heritage
  3. Sonoraville
  4. Central

Week 11 Schedule/Predictions

Still have a few playoff spots up for grabs with 2 weeks remaining.

Week 11

Heard Co at Temple (-11.5)

Armuchee at Trion (-33.5)

Pepperell at Dade (-10.5)

Chattooga at Coosa (-16)

Christian Heritage (-11.5) at Mt. Zion

Rockmart (-24.5) at Fannin Co

Model (-34.5) at Gordon Central

Murray Co at Haralson Co (-34.5)

Adairsville (-21) at Bremen

Ringgold (-26.5) at LFO

Coahulla Creek (-13.5) at Lafayette

Ridgeland at Gordon Lee (-22.5)

White Co (-2) at Pickens

SE Whitfield at Cedartown (-34.5)

Sonoraville at Heritage (-3)

NW Whitfield at Central (-7.5)

Cass at Calhoun (-27)

Cartersville (-11) at Dalton

Woodland at Hiram (-25.5)

Maynard Jackson at Villa Rica (-7.5)

Langston Hughes (-24) at S. Paulding

Paulding Co (-10) at Alexander

E. Paulding (-20.5) at New Manchester

Creekview at Rome (-34.5)

Campbell at Carrollton (-34.5)

N. Paulding (-23) at Hillgrove

NWGA Playoff Math Pt. 1

With 2 weeks remaining Region Titles and Playoff spots are still on the line.

Here is a look at how we see each Region in our coverage Area shaking out.

Region 2-7A

Carrollton at 3-0 in the Region has the tie break over East Coweta and Westlake. The Trojans play last place Campbell to end the season and should go to 4-0. Regardless the Trojans are your #1 Seed.

Prediction:

  1. Carrollton (Lock)
  2. Westlake v East Coweta winner
  3. Westlake v East Coweta loser
  4. Pebblebrook (Lock)

Carrollton’s most likely 1st Round opponent: Camden County

Region 3-7A

Harrison and Marietta are locks to make the playoffs.

McEachern and North Paulding both play Hillgrove over the final 2 weeks of the season and a win ,both are heavy favorites, over Hillgrove would lock in a spot.

Harrsion, North Paulding, and McEachern are all predicted to end the season 2-2. They will be sorted based on the Region tiebreak rules but based on PF/PA system this is the best guess:

Prediction:

  1. Marietta
  2. Harrison
  3. North Paulding
  4. McEachern

North Paulding’s most likely 1st Rd opponent: A trip to next weeks Brookwood at Parkview winner.